ThreeBearsBalancedWithText_18Sep2024_Vignette
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table_success_DV
[discount_rates_problem] [outcomes] [success_likelihood] [table_success_DV]

For both capital and income contracts, with and without inflation, the chances of success for the initial uncorrected off-market assumptions are shown below. The terms “acceptable”, “failure” and "wasteful" correspond to "OK", "Lo" and "Hi" used above and on the chart. Ranging between 1 and 6, the numbers on the right are the ranks (highest at top), with the outliers shaded in green. Using index-linked gilts either failed or was wasteful in all cases and conventional gilts weren’t that good either.

TableSuccess_DV_17Nov2024