ThreeBearsBalancedWithText_18Sep2024_Vignette
ContactDiscRateEnd2019ContactDiscRateEnd2019
SiteMapDiscRateEnd2019SiteMapDiscRateEnd2019
table_success_MV
[discount_rates_problem] [outcomes] [success_likelihood] [table_success_MV]

For both capital and income contracts, with and without inflation, the chances of success for the initial uncorrected mark-to-market assumptions are shown below. The terms “acceptable”, “failure” and “wasteful” correspond to “OK”, “Lo” and “Hi” used above and on the chart. Ranging between 1 and 6, the numbers on the right are the ranks (highest at top), with the outliers shaded in green. Using index-linked gilts failed in all cases.

 

TableSuccess_MV_17Nov2024