For both capital and income contracts, with and without inflation, the chances of success for the initial uncorrected mark-to-market assumptions are shown below. The terms “acceptable”, “failure” and “wasteful” correspond to “OK”, “Lo” and “Hi” used above and on the chart. Ranging between 1 and 6, the numbers on the right are the ranks (highest at top), with the outliers shaded in green. Using index-linked gilts failed in all cases.
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